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Hollywood is Dead, Long Live Hollywood - the Production.ink Interview with Evan Shapiro

A Post Mortem on the TV & Film Industry's Summer Labor Deals from Jonathan Turner, Esq.

Photo by Tina Rataj-Berard / Unsplash

Welcome Back to Production.ink, Issue #11, here to provide you with useful and relevant news and resources on the business of production. At Production.ink, we follow Evan Shapiro and his Media War & Peace musings closely. Evan is the industry’s officially unofficial media universe "cartographer," so we were excited to talk to him to map the current media environment, chart where it will go, and translate what that means for Production.ink’s subscribers.

It was a wakeup call.

We’ll run key takeaways from our conversation with Evan over Production.ink’s next two issues. First, we’ll talk about how audiences are moving and what it means for the production industry (read: our jobs); next time we’ll talk about what our next moves (read: again, jobs) should be. 

Here’s what we learned.

Audiences are permanently shifting. 

We’ve spent a lot of time in this newsletter speculating whether Hollywood production levels will bounce back, and where that is most likely to happen. Evan talked us through his most recent Media Map, where one thing is clear: Social media dominates what Evan calls the “Attention Ecosystem.”  The audience shifts are undeniable and tangible:

"Look at what you do on a daily basis. Look at what you read, look at what you watch. Look at how you spend your time on your phone, and then on your tablet, then do the same thing for anyone in your ecosystem under the age of 30. And then ask your friends, what do you listen to? What do you watch? What do you do? How much time did you spend on Tik Tok? You'll see how much of the attention economy is moving to the things I'm talking about."

YouTube dominates streaming viewership; YouTube products and Spotify are far and away the “must-have” media. And while traditional media—the Media Industrial Complex, as Evan calls it—has put its head in the sand, you can’t afford to. Because that’s where the money is going. 

Hollywood will keep shrinking.

Evan pointed out that with the exception of Netflix, streamers aren’t profitable; their parent companies’ other lines of business bankroll them. But as audiences and market share shift elsewhere faster, streamers will bundle, consolidate, or die. 

Audiences won’t magically return to feature films, either. That’s not where the attention is shifting, so it’s not where the money will return to. We’ll see budgets continue to shrink and even fewer big, traditional productions. And Evan echoes something we wrote about during union negotiations: more of those studio production jobs will shift overseas for budgetary reasons. 

The magical rebound we’re hoping for is unlikely. 

The Creator Economy should be your next move.

Independent creators will fill the void. You’ve already seen it. Mr. Beast. All Things Comedy. Dude Perfect. Savvy creators will continue to grow their productions into brands and brands into enterprises that expand revenue streams across mediums. They’ll multiply and grow market share, and/or they’ll get bought out by the major platforms like Spotify or Amazon. And either way, their productions will need editors, marketers, lawyers, and advertising professionals.

"For rest of your life, work is going to come from the creator or community platforms we’re talking about…. On Amazon Prime Day, more than 100 million people came to their live shopping channel, and those shows get produced. Martha Stewart doesn’t just show up on Amazon live; she has a team doing that production. So there's a replacement of the ecosystem happening. It's large, it's active, and it’s going to generate middle class livings the same way the traditional ecosystem does."

So how do production folks put Evan’s cartography into action? In our next issue, we’ll share Evan’s insights into where the new production jobs will be, how to get up to speed with the creator economy, and what else we should be ready for. 

Talk to you then. In the meantime, keep up with Evan.

Evan Shapīro - New York, New York, United States | Professional Profile | LinkedIn
Location: New York · 500+ connections on LinkedIn. View Evan Shapīro’s profile on LinkedIn, a professional community of 1 billion members.


Truthfully, a slow news period for production specific stories. Here's some interesting stuff we've found:

The most interesting item out there was not news per se, but a listing of Variety's top physical production executives in Hollywood. Happily, folks like Production.ink friends such as Mo Sengupta and Jonathan Mussman made the grade and all of the winning executives offered insights on the state of the industry from the perspective of physical production. Hopefully this becomes an annual thing for the oft-forgotten physical production leaders.

An inside look at Hollywood Catering was not the hot news item we thought we would eat up, but here we are. Indiewire's The Craft newsletter did a terrific piece on the ins and outs (not the ins and outs of In & Out Burger) that basically gave props to the folks feeding us on set. They work tirelessly, their work is graded on the spot (and without a curve), and they have to be super creative with menus on those long location shoots.

Speaking of Indiewire, they also covered how production designers deal with "space" (literally and figuratively) when designing sets for outerspace-based projects. Beyond the lack of space in space, issues like weightlessness, gravity, sound, lighting and camera placement all play a role in how these folks make it look so real.

BMI the music Performance rights group filed suit against SiriusXM to provide its artists “fair and appropriate fees” for music licensing deals. BMI notes that it had had on-going attempts to negotiation with SiriusXM and that the "radio" service has been been financial successful since it made changes to its model. BMI contends that the fees to its constituents has not kept up with the new success.

Japan’s Visual Industry Promotion Organization and Japan Film Commission have announced a new incentive program for international production companies. “Large-scale overseas TV and film projects shot on location in Japan” will be eligible for funding from Japan’s Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry. Up to one-half of an international production’s Japanese spend is eligible for coverage. Japan is looking for production efforts that “greatly benefit the Japanese economy and the domestic film industry”, with applications opening this month.

Also, not many positive job moves lately, but here's what we've found:

Bilibili Vice President of film and television production and documentary production, Lu Fanxi has resigned. Among other moves, Lightbox has promoted Polly Allen to Head of Production, UK and Carolyn Sperry Lewis the SVP Production and Operations will oversee all areas of the company’s operations in its LA office...Doe-Anderson agency hired Marianne Newton as New VP, Director of Integrated Production...Wondu Dikran has been named SVP of Hallmark MediaMike McQuade has been promoted to the new role of EVP of Sports Production as ESPN undergoes a vast reorganization of executive roles.


Thanks for reading. See you soon. - The Production.ink team


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